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17-21 June: An action packed week ahead. Plenty of data, starting with today’s PMI’s, ISM. NFP-Friday.

Weekly FX outlook is provided by FX Charts. If you would like to receive this report in full on a daily basis you can subscribe to the FXCharts mailing list by going directly to www.FXCharts.com.au.

Aud, Nzd a bit higher after the w/e China Mfg PMI. Watch the Nikkei & Yen again for clues to direction. US Yields higher. Stocks headed lower?

A late move lower in equities was Fridays highlight after the dollar had strengthened mildly on the better than expected US data, that the market perceived as an an excuse for the Fed to think about winding back the QE programme. This week will be a big one, with a heavy round of data, beginning today with the Manufacturing PMI’s and ending on Friday with the US Jobs/ NFP and with the RBA, ECB and BOE IR decisions in between. Kiwi holiday today.

Read the full FXCharts Weekly Outlook here or scan the market summary below.

CURRENCIES
EUR/USD: 1.3345 Outlook
Res 1.3390 1.3435 1.3450 The Euro had a relatively quiet finish to the week, although the price action was choppy, with the dollar mildly firmer …read more
Sup 1.3285 1.3250 1.3160
USD/JPY: 94.10 Outlook
Res 00.00 00.00 00.00 The dollar finished lower on Friday after another volatile session …read more
Sup 93.65 93.00 92.50
GBP/USD: 1.5705 Outlook
Res 1.5735 1.5760 1.5790 Cable had a volatile session on Friday, falling sharply from 1.5710 to 1.5615 and then bouncing to close at 1.5705, right on the 200 DMA…read more
Sup 1.5670 1.5635 1.5605
USD/CHF: 0.9210 Outlook
Res 0.9240 0.9285 0.9300 Having made a midweek low at 0.9129, the dollar has bounced to close the week on the 76.4% Fibo support of 0.9108/0.9838 at 0.9210. …read more
Sup 0.9190 0.9130 0.9100
AUD/USD: 0.9570 Outlook
Res 0.9600 0.9620 0.9665 The Aud is attempting to pick itself up off the floor but is finding it hard to make any headway above 0.9600 …read more
Sup 0.9565 0.9535 0.9500
NZD/USD: 0.8050 Outlook
Res 0.8100 0.8135 0.8160 As with the Aud, the Kiwi has made a good bounce off its 0.7759 lows and now sits more happily back above 0.8000 having traded up to as high as 0.8136 in Fridays session..read more
Sup 0.8035 0.8000 0.7950
Commodities / Indices
ASX SPI: 4760 Outlook
Res 4780 4805 4820 The SPI has recovered from its mid week low ad looks as though it could chop around from a few days above 4700 to allow the daily charts the chance to unwind …read more
Sup 4740 4720 4700
S+P Futs: 1624 Outlook
Res 1640 1650 1660 The S+P finished the week a bit lower but really it is trading sideways in a choppy 1600/40 range and this looks set to continue, at least until the FOMC on Wednesday. …read more
Sup 1620 1610 1600
DJI Futs: 15055 Outlook
Res 15100 15200 15300 The Dow is in the same boat as the S+P and for the time being it would appear that it is going to hang close to 15000. The dailies are pointing a bit lower and I prefer to sell into strength, with a SL placed just above 15200….read more
Sup 15000 14950 14850
GOLD: 1390 Outlook
Res 1400 1410 1420 Gold is pretty boring at present and seems pretty happy near 1400 although this may well change on Wednesday once it becomes a little clearer as to what the Fed will do …read more
Sup 1380 1370 1360
SILVER: 22.10 Outlook
Res 22.20 22.50 22.75 Silver had a very brief spike from 21.70 to 22.50 and equally quickly reversed to 22.00 where it spent the rest of the session on Friday…read more
Sup 21.75 21.50 21.20
OIL(WTI): 97.80 Outlook
Res 98.20 99.00 100.00 WTI reached the 98.20 resistance on Friday from where it has so far backed off a little but I suspect that it may be building for a move to higher ground read more
Sup 96.40 95.50 94.50

 

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